Thursday, 14 February 2013

On 25 February, Position Sizing Calculator

How can you tell when the market will offer pleasant retreats or when it is negotiated out of momentum? The best way to check is to look at the ADX indicator.

Readings below 25 indicate that the market will offer nice declines to initiate the swing trades. Readings above 25 indicates a strong trend - setbacks will be low, or nonexistent.

trend strenght using the ADX indicator

As long as the ADX indicator is greater at 25 and sloping upwards, the market will continue to trade off the coast of momentum. Momentum is lost when it starts to go in lowering.

It is not a perfect technical indicator (are), but it does a good job of you say the current strength of the trend.

You do not know if you already know about this but the EWI has their 2013 report state of markets available. It's a worthy read - and it's free.

Download here

I do not know how long it will be available then take it while you can!

Take a look at the following table:

stock chart of HRB

Block H & R (HRB) recently broke out (arrow) firmly through the resistance (highlighted). This stock is now in mode first recoil and could create a great trading opportunity if it prints a reversal candle.

The only problem I see is that this stock is in a mature trend that could lead to failure mode.

However, it is certainly one to keep an eye, when the market resumes its trade.

I know from experience that a stock has to move in your favor in a day or two after your entry. If not then it will probably go against you. Here is a recent job that I had:

stock chart of TASR

This stock has pulled back and formed a tail at bottom, then an engulfing candlestick pattern. So, I bought the stock. Then I waited... and waited... and the stock has gone nowhere. If I dump a few days.

The first question that comes to mind when this occurs is:

Where are the buyers?

They are not there.

Time to get out.

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